Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.259279 3.509924 3.781147 4.098355 4.461658 4.867816 5.360614
2026-02-01 2.793143 3.111593 3.476660 3.932241 4.494605 5.178908 6.096016
2026-02-08 2.486491 2.822939 3.221526 3.738418 4.406733 5.266095 6.500014
2026-02-15 2.321173 2.677628 3.111928 3.694418 4.479788 5.543427 7.178290
2026-02-22 2.171780 2.535565 2.988356 3.611761 4.480927 5.709595 7.712709
2026-03-01 2.027821 2.388424 2.844385 3.484630 4.400508 5.739691 8.030882
2026-03-08 1.891402 2.242003 2.690440 3.329331 4.261054 5.659105 8.143881
2026-03-15 1.826458 2.183939 2.648444 3.323717 4.335667 5.911880 8.877243
2026-03-22 1.764139 2.125331 2.601134 3.305243 4.386485 6.129496 9.591999
2026-03-29 1.705302 2.068023 2.551646 3.278776 4.420373 6.320299 10.297603
2026-04-05 1.694681 2.074727 2.590403 3.384028 4.672069 6.923694 12.054061
2026-04-12 1.658997 2.044954 2.575336 3.405716 4.787388 7.296204 13.421628
2026-04-19 1.716172 2.152526 2.772066 3.786810 5.593365 9.249486 20.348476
2026-04-26 1.622016 2.041612 2.641349 3.632945 5.424088 9.138389 21.037161
2026-05-03 1.531603 1.932086 2.506917 3.463020 5.206133 8.878314 21.072715
2026-05-10 1.481165 1.878127 2.453536 3.424131 5.233121 9.192608 23.594117
2026-05-17 1.426301 1.815315 2.383239 3.351096 5.184711 9.316173 25.482664
2026-05-24 1.365741 1.741907 2.293300 3.238504 5.046124 9.188626 26.136010
2026-05-31 1.302737 1.662952 2.191820 3.100547 4.845016 8.870457 25.646589
2026-06-07 1.274468 1.634385 2.167528 3.095552 4.915031 9.280149 29.570413
2026-06-14 1.245364 1.603454 2.138001 3.079107 4.959158 9.632521 33.817797
2026-06-21 1.216405 1.571708 2.105738 3.055537 4.985412 9.942880 38.500280
2026-06-28 1.213981 1.579732 2.137111 3.149189 5.279307 11.151723 55.103974